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The Conversation
James K. Rowe, Associate Professor of Political Ecology, University of Victoria

Why Trump’s victory over death could land him in the Oval Office for a second time

A headline from the Canadian satirical publication The Beaverton captured the political mood among Democrats after the assassination attempt on Donald Trump: “Whatever you need to do to mentally prepare yourself for a second Trump presidency, go ahead and get started.”

Historical precedent supports this fatalism. Brazilian far-right leader Jair Bolsonaro was stabbed at an event in 2018, which intensified his public support. He won the presidency a month later.

Likewise, President Ronald Reagan saw a jump in his approval numbers after being shot in 1981. He mobilized that support to pass massive tax cuts months later.

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