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Peter Martin, Visiting Fellow, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University

Why the RBA should go easy on interest rate hikes: inflation may already be retreating and going too hard risks a recession

Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe Lukas Coch/AAP

One of the stranger things about the Reserve Bank’s announcement of why it’s lifting interest rates by 0.25 percentage points is that it suggests inflation will come down by itself.

“A further rise in inflation is expected in the near term,” the RBA says, “but as supply-side disruptions are resolved, inflation is expected to decline back towards the target range of 2-3%.

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