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Los Angeles Times
Los Angeles Times
Politics
Freddy Brewster

Why is the Senate race between J.D. Vance and Tim Ryan in Ohio so close?

Tim Ryan JD Vance Donald Trump Ohio Joe Biden Republican David Niven James Traficant Rob Portman Sherrod Brown

LANDEN, Ohio — Former President Donald Trump won this state twice, each time by more than 8 percentage points.

Judging by that record, you might think that J.D. Vance, the Republican venture capitalist and author Trump endorsed in the U.S. Senate race here, would be well ahead of Rep. Tim Ryan, his Democratic opponent.

But polls say the race is close. FiveThirtyEight, a polling aggregator, gives Ryan a 29% chance of pulling off the upset. Ryan leads in five of the last eight polls cited by FiveThirtyEight, but the margins are small and neither candidate has topped 50% in any of them, suggesting there is still a bloc of undecided voters.

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