Election Day has arrived, with millions of Americans casting their votes for the next president of the United States. Over two months of polling data reveal a highly competitive and closely contested race. Key swing states—Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin—are likely to be pivotal in determining today’s outcome.
While local and state races are also on the ballot, the biggest question on voters’ minds is clear: Will former President Donald Trump make a return to the White House with JD Vance, or will Vice President Kamala Harris take the top role alongside her running mate, Tim Walz, potentially making history as the first female president?
Here’s a look at what the polls are indicating on Election Day for these critical swing states.
Who Is Leading in the Polls?
Today’s updates show Harris holding a slim lead in national polls, with 48.0% to Trump’s 46.8%. This follows a pattern from previous weeks, where Harris held a slight edge: 48.1% over Trump’s 46.6% last week, 48.2% over 46.4% two weeks ago, 48.5% over 46.1% three weeks ago, 48.0% over 47.3% four weeks ago, 48.5% over 45.8% five weeks ago, and so on. Over the last ten weeks, Harris has consistently led Trump by narrow margins, demonstrating a stable yet competitive race.
According to a source, Harris currently leads Trump by 1.2% in national polling, a slight increase from her 0.9% lead last week. Over recent weeks, her lead has varied, peaking at 3.7% five weeks ago and narrowing to 0.9% eight weeks ago. This trend reflects a fluctuating but persistent advantage for Harris in the polls as the race draws to a close.
