Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis had an up-and-down performance in Week 12 against the Carolina Panthers.
The Kentucky product was tremendous in the first half, doing his part to help score 17 points while looking poised and showing off his incredible arm talent in the process.
According to RBSDM, Levis finished in the top 11 in Success Rate (sixth), Completion Percentage Over Expectation (sixth), EPA/CPOE Composite (ninth), completion percentage (ninth), adjusted EPA per play (11th), and EPA per play (11th),
Unfortunately, the second half was the complete opposite. Using those same metrics, Levis ranked 23rd or worse over the final 30 minutes of play.
If Levis is ever going to reach his full potential, he has to start playing well for four quarters similarly to the way he did during his NFL debut. Outside of that day, he’s had his moments of brilliance, but he’s also had his fair share of rookie mistakes, as well.
That is to be expected out of a young quarterback, but ideally, you’d like to see him put together complete games without the dramatic drop-off from one half to the other.
The Titans’ quarterback has six games left in the regular season, so it will be fascinating to see how much growth we see from him for the rest of the year.
For now, let’s take a look at where Levis ranked analytically in Week 12.
Will Levis’ Week 12 stats and rankings
- EPA+CPOE Composite: 0.055 (16th)
- Adjusted EPA per play: -0.015 (18th)
- EPA per play: -0.015 (18th)
- Success rate: 53.6 percent (5th)
- Expected completion percentage: 63.9
- Completion percentage over expectation/CPOE: 2.7 (11th)
- Air yards: 8.6 (9th)
Glossary
- Expected Points Added (EPA): “EPA measures how well a team performs compared to their expectation on a play-by-play basis. EPA and EPA per Play, along with other stats using EPA, can help us evaluate team and player performance. EPA serves as a better tool of measurement for team/player performance because it takes into account that not all yards, touchdowns, and turnovers are equal.”
- Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE): “Not all completion percentages are built the same way, as throwing shorter passes to more open receivers generally leads to a higher completion percentage. CPOE adjusts for that, using pass depth and receiver separation to determine the likelihood of an average quarterback making any given throw.”
- Success Rate (SR): “SR is an efficiency metric that determines the success of a play. A play is successful when it gains at least 40 percent of yards-to-go on first down, 60 percent of yards-to-go on second down, and 100 percent of yards-to-go on third or fourth down.”
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