I asked if U.S. government long bond futures can rally in a September 11, 2025, Barchart article, when I concluded with the following:
Any unforeseen events that cause a flight to quality could lift bond prices and lower long-term yields if history repeats. The U.S. bond market and currency remain the most stable for global reserves, which favors the upside in turbulent times.
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With long bonds and TLT below the midpoint of their trading range over the past two years, the odds favor a recovery if the technical support levels at 110 and 107-04 holds. U.S. bonds can rally, and risk-reward at the current support and resistance levels favors the upside, even if the range remains intact over the coming months and into 2026.
