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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Devi Sridhar

What’s behind the mystery of thousands of excess deaths this summer?

nurses in a covid ward in the Royal Alexandra Hospital in Paisley in september 2021
‘Turning the NHS into a Covid health service prevented people from being diagnosed or treated for other conditions.’ Photograph: Jane Barlow/PA

Over the past couple of months, deaths in England and Wales have been higher than would be expected for a typical summer. In July and August, there were several weeks with deaths 10% to 13% above the five-year average, meaning that in England about 900 extra people a week were dying compared with the past few years.

The leading causes of death are within the typical range (the five-year average): heart and lung diseases, cancers, dementia and Alzheimer’s disease. Covid-19 deaths could account for half of the excess mortality, but the other half is puzzling, as there’s no one clear reason that jumps out.

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