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Barchart
Barchart
Darin Newsom

What Does Brent's Basis Market Tell Us?

  • The price difference between Brent crude's spot price and nearby futures contract finished last week at $32, the strongest basis read since at least 2008. 

  • Additionally, forward curves for both Brent and WTI show strengthening backwardations meaning commercial interests continue to push the markets to source supplies to meet demand. 

     

  • It is impossible to guess how high crude oil could go, but when supplies start to move again, the selloff will be volatile. 

Late last week I saw a story on CNBC.com with the teaser, “Brent oil spot price for actual cargo soars to $141, highest level since 2008 financial crisis”[i]. Three things jumped out at me about this. Let’s talk about them. 

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