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Barchart
Barchart
Darin Newsom

What Are Markets Showing Heading Into the Last Week of February?

  • Early Monday morning finds the US dollar index under pressure though having erased much of its overnight weakness as of this writing. 

  • Gold continued to move higher, not surprising given its role as a safe-haven market. 

  • The Grains sector was under pressure across the board, led by continued commercial pressure. 

Morning Summary: As the curtain rises on this last week of February, the last week of meteorological winter, the commodity complex is generally seeing follow-through pressure from last Friday. The big mover overnight was natural gas as the spot-month contract (NGH25) fell as much as 23.5 cents (5.6%) and was still showing a loss of 21.6 cents (5.1%) at this writing. What got into the Widow Maker overnight? We could ask that, while acknowledging this is pretty much what the market does routinely, with the answer most likely being a turn to more spring-like weather this week across the United States. This raises an even more important question: Was Punxsutawney Phil wrong?! Think of all that could mean. Anyway, I digress. The US dollar index ($DXY) spent the evening yo-yoing back and forth across unchanged with the greenback in the red by 0.04 pre-dawn Monday. Gold (GCJ25) was higher, shockingly enough, as the April issue gained as much as $10.50. As I’ve told Kitco News the last number of Fridays, we can throw both technical and fundamental analysis of the gold market out the window at this time. It’s a safe-haven play meaning both investors and hedgers should remain active for the foreseeable future. 

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