West Ham United are part of a nine team battle for Premier League survival this season with just four points separating the division’s bottom nine sides.
The Hammers currently find themselves sat in 18th, joining south coast duo Bournemouth and Southampton in the relegation zone.
However, compared to the rest of the bottom nine, West Ham have played only 26 league matches, with the rest of the sides sat 12th and below with 27 or 28 matches played.
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With just over two months to go until the Premier League season concludes on Sunday, May 28, data experts FiveThirtyEight have given their thoughts on where the Hammers will finish this season, and their chances of going down.
According to their data-based predictions, West Ham are most likely to finish in 13th position this season, giving them a 15% chance of doing so. The next likely is 14th (14%), followed by a tie for 12th and 15th (both 13%).
The same prediction tool has given them a 8% chance to finish 18th, a 6% chance of 19th and a 5% chance of ending the campaign rock bottom.
West Ham United’s chances of finishing in each Premier League position, according to FiveThirtyEight’s data
9th or better - under 1%
10th - 1%
11th - 4%
12th - 13%
13th - 15%
14th - 14%
15th - 13%
16th - 12%
17th - 9%
18th - 8%
19th - 6%
20th - 5%
In terms of the full relegation picture, West Ham have been given a 19% chance of going down, making them the sixth most likely team to get relegated.
The prediction believes that bottom of the table, and the Hammers’ next opponents, Southampton have a 68% chance of going down.
Despite being sat in 16th, Forest are said to be the second most likely team to go down with a relegation percentage of 56%. Bournemouth, sat in 19th, are the third most likely at 54%.
Before West Ham in the sides ranked the most likely to get relegated stakes are Everton (40%) and Wolverhampton Wanderers (23%).
The three bottom sides given less chance of relegation than the Hammers are Leeds United (17%), Leicester City (13%) and Crystal Palace (10%).
Premier League teams’ chances of getting relegated, according to FiveThirtyEight’s data :
Southampton - 68%
Nottingham Forest - 56%
Bournemouth - 54%
Everton - 40%
Wolverhampton Wanderers - 23%
West Ham United - 19%
Leeds United - 17%
Leicester City - 13%
Crystal Palace - 10%
All other teams - under 1%
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