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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Environment
Theo Gkousarov and Matthew Williams

Weather tracker: US experts predict one of most active hurricane seasons on record

Two people walk among debris on an RV park in Fort Myers beach, Florida, US, in 2022 after Hurricane Ian swept across the area.
Two people walk among debris on an RV park in Fort Myers beach, Florida, in 2022 after Hurricane Ian swept across the area. Photograph: Cristóbal Herrera/EPA

Last week, the US National Hurricane Center issued its first advisory of the year, more than a month before the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from 1 June to 30 November. An area of low pressure was identified on Wednesday 24 April in the east-central Atlantic Ocean, about 900 miles to the north-west of Cape Verde.

The low quickly dispersed as it moved into an area of stronger upper level winds. But although this disturbance did not cause any impacts, it is perhaps a sign of what forecasters are predicting will be one of the most active hurricane seasons on record. Earlier in April, the Colorado State University issued its Atlantic hurricane forecast, with a prediction of 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes. For comparison, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the average hurricane season between 1991 and 2020 comprised roughly 14 tropical storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

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