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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Environment
Jonathan Watts

‘We don’t know where the tipping point is’: climate expert on potential collapse of Atlantic circulation

Iceberg landscape with the midnight sun colours in Greenland
The rate of melting in Greenland could affect the tipping rate of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Photograph: Luis Leamus/Alamy

The dangers of a collapse of the main Atlantic Ocean circulation, known as Amoc, have been “greatly underestimated” and would have devastating and irreversible impacts, according to an open letter released at the weekend by 44 experts from 15 countries. One of the signatories, Stefan Rahmstorf, an oceanographer and climatologist who heads the Earth system analysis department at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, explains here why he has recently upgraded his risk assessment of an Amoc breakdown as a result of global heating – and what that means for Britain, Europe and the wider world.

What is Amoc?

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