Watching Caerphilly: Welsh byelection may be bellwether for political transformation in UK

Richard Tunnicliffe, the Welsh Labour candidate, has been lukewarm in his praise of Keir Starmer and says people are feeling like they have not been listened to. Photograph: Francesca Jones/The Guardian

Usually, a Welsh parliament byelection in Caerphilly would probably not attract huge attention away from its rolling green hills and post-industrial townscapes.

But these are not normal times and the result of next month’s ballot in this corner of south Wales may have ramifications across the UK.