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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
Eric Garcia

Want to know if Trump or Harris will win? Watch these House races

New York Republican Representatives’ Nick LaLota, Anthony D’Esposito and Mike Lawler all have races that will serve as bellwethers for the 2024 presidential race. - (Getty Images)

A new batch of polls for the swing states from various outlets dropped on Wednesday evening, to mixed reactions.

Some Democrats and even some Republicans have taken to discarding polls overall and looking at early voting numbers instead, since people in swing states like Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin have already begun to cast their ballots. But this is an imprecise science, since it only reveals party registration. Plenty of registered Republicans may not pull the lever for Trump, and vice versa.

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