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Fortune
Fortune
Jim Edwards

Wall Street is locked in for a Fed rate cut next week: The only question is how far and how fast Powell will go

Photo: JACKSON HOLE, WYOMING - AUGUST 22: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is seen walking in Grand Teton National Park on August 22, 2025 near Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Powell spoke Friday at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. (Credit: Natalie Behring—Getty Images)
  • Wall Street expects the Fed to cut rates by 0.25% next week, though some are speculating Jerome Powell could deliver a “jumbo” 0.5% move, given how weak recent labor market data has been. Global markets and U.S. S&P 500 futures rose on expectations of cheaper money, but there are still two more rounds of inflation data prior to the Fed’s call.

S&P 500 futures are up 0.25% this morning as investors, having digested grim data from the U.S. labor market last week, feel that a 0.25% cut in interest rates from the Fed is locked in. The talk now is whether U.S. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell will surprise the markets with a “jumbo” 0.5% cut, or opt instead for a series of 0.25% cuts month by month.

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