Recent polling conducted in Michigan and Pennsylvania reveals that voters in these crucial swing states are more dissatisfied than pleased with the candidates they have to choose from in the upcoming general election. The surveys show a close race between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, with Trump leading in Michigan and the two candidates tied in Pennsylvania.
Interestingly, Biden seems to have a stronger hold on his 2020 coalition in Pennsylvania compared to Michigan. The polls indicate that Biden is leading among women, voters of color, college graduates, and independents in Pennsylvania, while in Michigan, he faces challenges with narrower margins among key demographics such as women, voters of color, independents, and young voters.
While most voters in both states have already made up their minds about their preferred candidate, a significant portion – about a quarter in each state – remain open to changing their minds before the election. This group of undecided voters could potentially sway the outcome in these pivotal states, both of which Biden won by slim margins in 2020.
Notably, there is room for movement among key subgroups, particularly independents and young voters, who are less than solidly decided in both states. Additionally, satisfaction with the presidential race choices is low in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, with fewer than half of voters expressing contentment with the options available.
Majorities of voters in both states believe that a second term for Trump would bring fundamental changes to the US, while fewer see the same potential for a second Biden term. Supporters of both candidates anticipate significant shifts in the country under a second Trump term, with more viewing the change positively. On the other hand, opinions on a potential second Biden term are more divided, with some perceiving it as bringing little change at all.
