USA defeated Paraguay 4-1 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood on Matchday 1 of Group D, with goals from a Damian Bobadilla own goal, a Folarin Balogun brace, and a Gio Reyna strike sealing the result. The win moves the United States to the top of Group D on three points with a +3 goal difference, and BetOnline has responded by shortening the USA to win Group D to -180, while Paraguay have drifted to +1400. The result reshapes the group fundamentally: four to six total points from the remaining fixtures against Australia and Turkiye will almost certainly secure advancement to the Round of 32, making the USA’s group-stage exit price the market now worth monitoring.