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Science
Sarah Hayford, Professor of Sociology; Director, Institute for Population Research, The Ohio State University

US birth rates are at record lows – even though the number of kids most Americans say they want has held steady

More one-and-done families influence the overall birth rate. Maskot via Getty Images

Birth rates are falling in the U.S. After the highs of the Baby Boom in the mid-20th century and the lows of the Baby Bust in the 1970s, birth rates were relatively stable for nearly 50 years. But during the Great Recession, from 2007-2009, birth rates declined sharply – and they’ve kept falling. In 2007, average birth rates were right around 2 children per woman. By 2021, levels had dropped more than 20%, close to the lowest level in a century. Why?

Is this decline because, as some suggest, young people aren’t interested in having children? Or are people facing increasing barriers to becoming parents?

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