The International Energy Agency (IEA) has issued a warning about the potential for “severe disruptions” in Ukraine’s electricity supply this winter. The country has been under increased threat due to ongoing attacks on its energy infrastructure by Russia since the full-scale invasion in February 2022. Recent intensified bombardments have left Ukraine in a vulnerable position as colder weather approaches.
Despite facing challenges in the past, Ukraine has managed to navigate through previous winters with the help of its people and international partners. However, the upcoming winter is expected to be the toughest yet, according to the IEA.
Russia's recent aerial attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure have caused significant damage, leading to power outages in several cities and affecting millions of households. Prior to these attacks, a substantial portion of Ukraine's power generation capacity was already offline due to destruction, damage, or occupation by Russian forces.
The IEA estimates that Ukraine could face an electricity supply shortfall of up to 6 gigawatts this winter, posing a significant risk to essential services such as hospitals and schools. To address these challenges, the agency has outlined 10 measures that Ukraine and its allies should implement, including enhancing security, expediting repairs, and investing in energy efficiency.
One crucial measure highlighted in the report is the need for effective air defense to safeguard energy services in Ukraine in the coming months. The EU has pledged €160 million in support, with funds coming from frozen Russian assets. This assistance includes humanitarian aid for shelters and heaters, as well as funding for repair works and renewable energy projects.
Efforts are underway to repair Ukraine's energy infrastructure and connect its electricity grid to Europe, which is expected to cover a significant portion of the country's energy needs this winter. Initiatives such as dismantling a thermal power plant in Lithuania for reassembly in Ukraine and providing solar panels to hospitals demonstrate the collaborative efforts to address Ukraine's energy challenges.
