During a recent assessment by Ukrainian President Zelensky at the front line, it was revealed that there is a challenging situation in various areas where Russian troops have concentrated their forces. The delay in aid to Ukraine has allowed Russian troops to take advantage of the situation. Ukraine is facing shortages in artillery, frontline air defense, and longer-range weapons, highlighting the urgent need for additional resources.
Furthermore, Russia has initiated movements in multiple locations, including the recent capture of the city of Avdika and the deployment of 40,000 troops to Mariupol, with an additional 110,000 troops positioned further south. This has raised concerns of a potential Russian counteroffensive to regain control of territories lost during the Ukrainian counteroffensive last year.
Despite unfavorable weather conditions for an offensive, Russia may see this as an opportunity to advance, especially considering Ukraine's current lack of ammunition and support. The timing of potential victories in Ukraine could also benefit Russian President Putin domestically, particularly in the lead-up to elections.
It is evident that unless Ukraine receives significant support and weaponry from Western allies, Russia holds a strategic advantage in the ongoing conflict. The dynamics of the situation have shifted from a year ago when Ukraine had aspirations of pushing Russian forces out of the country.
