Two weeks since Russia invaded Ukraine and still no "decapitation" of the Ukrainian government. In the past week, no city has been captured except Kherson, and maybe 2,000 military dead on each side.
It's not exactly a stalemate, since the Russians have more tanks, more artillery and more air power, and they have not yet used them as aggressively as they might. So we can use this (relative) pause in the fighting to examine Moscow's remaining options.
The Ukrainians have no option except to stay on the defensive, keep fighting and hope for the best, but the Russians have many choices ranging from "quit and go home" to "use nuclear weapons". Neither extreme is a likely choice, but with a little work we can figure out what they will probably choose to do.
