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Evening Standard
Evening Standard
Business
George Lagarias

UK recession is a real risk — but ‘soft landing’ is more likely

Economists often predict recessions.

Pessimism is inherent, I suppose, when dealing with the ‘dismal science’. The past few years have been no exception. This time last year, forecasters predicted an 90% probability that the UK would be in recession by now. Yet, the British economy stayed above water. 2024 will probably go the same way of low but positive growth. Why is that? 

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