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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Graeme Wearden

UK wage squeeze continues; US inflation jumps to 40-year high of 8.5% – as it happened

people hold a banner saying Lloyd's insure climate breakdown
Extinction Rebellion protesters outside the Lloyd's of London building today. Photograph: Henry Nicholls/Reuters

Closing post

Time to wrap up.

The cost of living squeeze on UK workers has continued, with wages failing to keep pace with prices.

Regular pay shrank in the quarter to February, with basic earnings up only 4% - failing to match inflation which was over 6% that month.

The latest UK labour market report also showed that public sector workers’ pay was shrinking by over 4% in real terms, and that long-term illness from Covid was taking people out of the jobs market.

That helped to pull the unemployment rate down to below its pre-pandemic levels, and to the joint-lowest point since the 1970s.

Our economics editor Larry Elliott says that the pandemic’s impact on the over-50s and public sector staff is particularly troubling:

US inflation has hit its highest rate since 1981, rising 8.5% over the year to the end of March. The war in Ukraine drove up energy costs for Americans, and food and housing costs also jumped.

Economists said the latest surge in prices would intensify pressure on the US Federal Reserve to hike interest rates, but some also hope that this could be the peak for inflation.

Growth in UK retail sales slowed last month as fears over the rising cost of living led to the sharpest drop in consumer confidence since the 2008 financial crisis:

The World Trade Organisation has cut its forecast for global trade growth this year, from 4.7% to 3%, due to the economic disruption caused by the Russia-Ukraine war.

The WTO also warned that poorer countries risk food shortages.

Development charity Oxfam is also deeply concerned. It warned that more than a quarter of a billion people around the world could be pushed into extreme poverty this year amid a surge in global food prices after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the ongoing impact of Covid and rising global inequality.

The World Bank is providing more financial support to Ukraine, by approving a $1bn (£770m) package to help keep critical services running.

Russia’s economy is on track to contract by more than 10% in 2022, the country’s former finance minister Alexei Kudrin says, following the crippling sanctions imposed following the invasion of Ukraine.

Sri Lanka is to default on its debts for the first time since independence in 1948, as a deep financial crisis forces it to preserve scarce foreign exchange reserves.

Sri Lanka’s finance ministry announced all debt payments would be temporarily suspended while it agreed a bailout with the IMF, saying:

The government is taking the emergency measure only as a last resort in order to prevent further deterioration of the republic’s financial position.

Frances O’Grady will stand down as general secretary of the Trades Union Congress at the end of the year.

The first woman to hold the post in the TUC’s 154-year-old history, she said it had been the greatest honour of her life to serve the trade union movement during a turbulent decade for workers.

Extinction Rebellion protesters have forced the closure of the insurance market Lloyd’s of London, after using superglue, chains and bicycle locks to block entrances to the building.

Protesters dressed as tea ladies pour ‘realitea’ and ‘honestea’ outside Lloyd’s headquarters in the City of London.
Protesters dressed as tea ladies pour ‘realitea’ and ‘honestea’ outside Lloyd’s headquarters in the City of London. Photograph: Vuk Valcic/ZUMA Press Wire/REX/Shutterstock

The group is demanding that Lloyds stops insuring fossil fuel projects.

The chief executive of easyJet has insisted that the great summer getaway will not be ruined, despite as many as a fifth of staff being off sick amid a wave of Covid, resulting in hundreds of flight cancellations.

The online fashion retailer Asos expects to take a £14m hit to its profits and a 2% reduction in growth, following its decision to stop trading in Russia in response to Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine.

One of the UK’s biggest accounting firms, Deloitte, is under investigation by regulators for its audits of Go-Ahead, after the bus and rail operator was embroiled in a scandal for wrongly withholding £50m of taxpayers’ money.

German investor optimism has dropped to its lowest level since early in the pandemic, with the Ukraine war and rising inflation hitting confidence.

Goodnight. GW

European market close

Europe’s stock markets have ended the day lower.

In London, the FTSE 100 index lost 42 points or 0.55% to 7,576, with jet engine maker Rolls-Royce (-5.8%), commercial property group Land Securities (-4.5%) and online grocery technology firm Ocado (-4.3%) leading the fallers.

Oil companies rallied, though, with BP up 2.5% after the Brent crude price surged over 6% to $105 per barrel.

Germany’s DAX lost 0.5% while France’s CAC is 0.3% lower.

Michael Hewson of CMC Markets sums up the day:

European markets have seen a negative bias for most of the day after getting a weak handoff from Asia after Chinese Premier Li Keqiang issued another warning of the effect that covid lockdowns would have on the Chinese economy, casting doubt on China’s ability to deliver on its 2022 GDP target of 5.5%.

We have recovered off the lows of the day, largely due to the more positive tone coming from Wall Street and the rebound in US markets.

The European banking sector has seen a big slide on reports that a big European mutual fund, or funds, has cashed out of its stakes in Germany’s two biggest banks, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank. Both stake sales happened at a significant discount to Monday’s closing price, with Deutsche Bank being the worst performer on the DAX today.

This appears to have spilled over into weakness in UK banks, although the weakness in HSBC and Standard Chartered may well be down to the growth warning issued by Chinese Premier Li about the Chinese economy, than any spillover effect from the weakness in Europe.

AstraZeneca shares are also under pressure on the back of profit taking after the shares hit record highs at the end of last week.

On the FTSE100, Rolls-Royce shares are the worst performers after being on the receiving end of a broker downgrade from JPMorgan on scepticism over the profitability prospects of its New Markets unit which includes the production of new modular nuclear reactors.

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