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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Matt Erickson

UFC 306 predictions: Down-the-middle picks for both Sphere title fights

The UFC is back in its home base this week, but at the already legendary Sphere for the first time with a pair of title fights at the top of the card, plus a celebration of Mexican Independence Day.

UFC 306 (pay-per-view, ESPNews, ESPN+) takes place Saturday at Sphere in Las Vegas.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 306.

Get main card pick results from our 11 editors, writers, radio hosts and videographers, as well as additional analysis, below.

Ode Osbourne vs. Ronaldo Rodriguez

Ronaldo Rodriguez vs. Ode Osbourne

Records: Osbourne (12-7 MMA, 4-5 UFC), Rodriguez (16-2 MMA, 1-0 UFC)
Past five: Osbourne 2-3, Rodriguez 5-0
Division: Flyweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 09.13.24): Osbourne +130, Rodriguez -155
Junkie pick results: Rodriguez 9, Osbourne 2

Esteban Ribovics vs. Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Zellhuber vs. Esteban Ribovics

Records: Ribovics (13-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC), Zellhuber (15-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC)
Past five: Ribovics 4-1, Zellhuber 4-1
Division: Lightweight
Rankings: None
Odds (as of 09.13.24): Ribovics +190, Zellhuber -230
Junkie pick results: Zellhuber 11, Ribovics 0

Diego Lopes vs. Brian Ortega

Brian Ortega vs. Diego Lopes

Records: Lopes (25-6 MMA, 4-1 UFC), Ortega (16-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC)
Past five: Lopes 4-1, Ortega 2-3
Division: Featherweight
Rankings: Ortega No. 7, Lopes No. 15
Odds (as of 09.13.24): Lopes -200, Ortega +165
Junkie pick results: Lopes 11, Ortega 0

Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko

Alexa Grasso vs. Valentina Shevchenko

Records: Grasso (16-3-1 MMA, 8-3-1 UFC), Shevchenko (23-4-1 MMA, 12-3-1 UFC)
Past five: Grasso 4-0-1, Shevchenko 3-1-1
Division: Women’s flyweight
Rankings: Grasso No. 1, No. 3 pound-for-pound; Shevchenko No. 2, No. 4 pound-for-pound
Odds (as of 09.13.24): Grasso -130, Shevchenko +110
Junkie pick results: Grasso 6, Shevchenko 5

Sean O’Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili

Sean O’Malley vs. Merab Dvalishvili

Records: O’Malley (18-1 MMA, 10-1 UFC), Dvalishvili (17-4 MMA, 10-2 UFC)
Past five: O’Malley 5-0, Dvalishvili 4-1
Division: Bantamweight
Rankings: O’Malley No. 1, No. 6 pound-for-pound; Dvalishvili No. 2, honorable mention pound-for-pound
Odds (as of 09.13.24): O’Malley -125, Dvalishvili +105
Junkie pick results: O’Malley 6, Dvalishvili 5

Preliminary card picks

Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont

Although they don’t count toward the standings, MMA Junkie staff members still pick the fights on the prelims. Here are the results:

  • Irene Aldana vs. Norma Dumont: Aldana 9, Dumont 2
  • Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Manuel Torres: Torres 6, Bahamondes 5
  • Yazmin Jauregui vs. Ketlen Souza: Jauregui 11, Souza 0
  • Edgar Chairez vs. Joshua Van: Van 8, Chairez 3
  • Aori Qileng vs. Raul Rosas Jr.: Rosas 11, Qileng 0

Check out all the main card picks below.

O’Malley
vs.
Dvalishvili
Grasso
vs.
Shevchenko
Lopes
vs.
Ortega
Ribovics
vs.
Zellhuber
Osbourne
vs.
Rodriguez
MMA Junkie readers’
consensus picks
151-85

O’Malley
(63%)

Shevchenko
(56%)

Lopes
(64%)

Zellhuber
(79%)

Rodriguez
(80%)
Ken Hathaway
@1khathaway
155-81
2017, 2022 Champion

O’Malley

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
Farah Hannoun
@Farah_Hannoun
153-83

O’Malley

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
Mike Bohn
@MikeBohn
150-86
2014 Champion

O’Malley

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
Matt Erickson
@MattE
145-91

O’Malley

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
Nolan King
@mma_kings
145-91
2023 Champion

Dvalishvili

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
Matthew Wells
@MrMWells
144-92

O’Malley

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
Brian Garcia
@thegoze
142-94
2017 Champion

Dvalishvili

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Osbourne
Simon Samano
@SJSamano
142-94

Dvalishvili

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
Abbey Subhan
@kammakaze
141-95

O’Malley

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
Danny Segura
@dannyseguratv
134-102

Dvalishvili

Grasso

Lopes

Zellhuber

Rodriguez
George Garcia
@MMAjunkieGeorge
126-110

Dvalishvili

Shevchenko

Lopes

Zellhuber

Osbourne

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 306.

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