House lawmakers were briefed on the potential outcome of a U.S.-China conflict over Taiwan within the next two years. The Chinese defense industrial base is operating at a 'wartime footing,' with a shipbuilding capacity 230 times greater than the U.S., making a Taiwan invasion a possibility. U.S. analysts project China to be fully equipped for an invasion by 2027.
A simulation by the Center for Strategic and International Studies showed the U.S., Taiwan, and Japan defeating a Chinese invasion but with heavy losses. The report emphasized Taiwan's defense, immediate U.S. decision on intervention, operations through Japan, and increased anti-ship missiles.
