Tyreek Hill’s version of “The Decision” is beginning to heat up on Kalshi’s NFL market as his price to either sign with the Kansas City Chiefs or retire continues to flip back and forth. This time, his price leans towards a reunion with the Chiefs.
Kalshi prices a Chiefs signing at 40% and retirement at 37%. Kalshi settles the market based on his decision by December 31, 2026. A $10 trade profits $12.90 if Hill returns to Kansas City and $14.58 if he retires. On August 1, Hill had a 45% chance to retire and 20% chance to sign with Kansas City.