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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
National
Seth Borenstein

Turbocharged Otis caught forecasters and Mexico off-guard. Scientists aren't sure why

Copyright 2023 The Associated Press. All rights reserved.

Hurricane Otis turned from mild to monster in record time, and scientists are struggling to figure out how — and why they didn't see it coming.

Usually reliable computer models and the forecasters who use them didn’t predict Otis’ explosive intensification, creating a nightmare scenario of an unexpectedly strong storm striking at night. Acapulco was told to expect a tropical storm just below hurricane strength, but 24 hours later, Otis blasted onto the Mexican coast with 165 mph (266 kph) winds, the strongest landfall of any East Pacific hurricane.

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