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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Philip Oltermann

Tuesday briefing: How weakened is Iran after Operation Midnight Hammer – and where might it go from here?

A state funeral for Iranian military commanders and nuclear scientists killed is held in Tehran on 28 June.
A state funeral for Iranian military commanders and nuclear scientists killed is held in Tehran on 28 June. Photograph: Xinhua/Shutterstock

Good morning. The term “cakeism” – the false belief that one can simultaneously enjoy the benefits of two mutually exclusive choices – may forever be associated with the Brexit negotiations, when keeping the advantages of EU membership while also shedding its costs became the UK’s official bargaining position.

But the appeal of cakeism endures, and over the last week the US president’s approach to the conflict with Iran has started to look distinctly gateau-shaped. Donald Trump wants the glory of a decisive victory on the battlefield but is not so keen on the long-term repercussions that come with it: tit-for-tat retaliations, unforeseeable conflict spillage, focused diplomacy, or even regime change – the kind of talk the Maga movement associates with Trump’s predecessors.

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