A new poll suggests that regret among Donald Trump's 2024 voters is no longer just anecdotal. Concretely, 22% of respondents have reservations or outright regret voting for the president. The poll, conducted March 20 to March 25 among 1,000 respondents, comes as Trump's overall job approval fell to 33%, with 62% disapproving.
According to UMass Amherst, 83% of Trump voters still say they feel confident in their 2024 choice, but that is down sharply from 93% in April 2025 and 88% in July 2025.
Another warning sign for the White House may be the erosion in intensity. Just 62% of Trump voters now say they are "very confident" in their vote, a 12-point drop from April 2025. An additional 12% say they have mixed feelings, some regrets, or would rather not have voted.
Poll director Tatishe Nteta said the trend raises a clear question about "cracks in the Trump coalition."
The UMass release tied Trump's decline to voter anger over inflation, tariffs, jobs, immigration, and the war with Iran. Nteta said it was "no shock" that Trump's approval had taken a hit amid "skyrocketing prices," stock market declines, the Middle East conflict, a government shutdown, and nationwide protests. The poll found that 71% of respondents said Trump is not handling inflation well, and 61% disapprove of his handling of jobs. Roughly two-thirds also view his tariff policy negatively, according to the survey summary.
"Less than two years into his presidency, and it simply looks as if President Trump is on the outs with the American public," Nteta said. "Whether Trump will be able to get back in the good graces of a public that has soured on this presidency will likely determine not only the outcome of the 2026 midterm election, but assessments of the overall success of his second presidency."
The slippage is especially notable among groups that helped power Trump's 2024 victory. UMass said approval among men, working-class Americans, and Black voters has dropped by close to 20 points since April 2025. Support also fell 18 points among moderates and 13 points among independents.
However, the largest share of Trump voters remain loyal, and only a relatively small minority says they would actually change their vote. What has changed more clearly is the level of certainty. UMass reported that 21% of Trump voters now have some degree of concern about their 2024 vote. Seven percent say they have mixed feelings, and about 1 in 10 say they might vote differently or not vote at all if given a do-over.
UMass said YouGov interviewed 1,072 U.S. adults, then matched the results down to a final weighted sample of 1,000 respondents based on gender, age, race, and education. The margin of error was 3.5 percentage points.
