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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
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Coral Murphy Marcos

Trump to hold rally in Arizona as new polls show Harris in the lead – live

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump waves while walking onstage for a campaign rally on October 12, 2024 in Coachella, California.
Donald Trump waves while walking onstage for a campaign rally on Friday in Coachella, California. Photograph: Mario Tama/Getty Images

Donald Trump on Sunday said he does not expect chaos from his supporters on the day of the 5 November election.

Asked on Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures if he anticipated chaos from those who support him over Kamala Harris, the former president said: “No, I don’t think. Not from the side that votes for Trump.”

Supporters of Trump aimed a deadly attack on Congress weeks after he lost the presidency to Joe Biden in 2020. The US Capitol attack – launched after he told his supporters to fight like hell – was a desperate attempt to prevent congressional certification of Biden’s victory.

Hundreds of participants have been indicted on federal crimes pertaining to the violence. And Trump himself was charged with illicitly trying to overturn his 2020 defeat in the lead-up to the attack.

Homeland security secretary Alejandro Mayorkas on Sunday said the slew of misinformation online about the hurricanes devastating parts of the US is “extremely pernicious”.

During an interview with Face the Nation, Mayorkas called for officials to debunk the false claims because “we’re not seeing enough of that.”

Updated

The Democratic National Committee released a six-figure ad campaign in the battleground states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania calling out Jill Stein as a “vote for Trump”.

The ad opens with a photo of Stein morphing into the Republican presidential nominee.

“Why are Trump’s close allies helping her? Stein was key to Trump’s 2016 wins in battleground states,” says the ad. “She’s not sorry she helped Trump win. That’s why a vote for Stein is really a vote for Trump.”

Democratic party chair Jaime Harrison, California Senate candidate Adam Schiff, activist Jessica Craven, and others reacted to the ad on social.

Updated

Media blitz to VP duties: on the campaign trail with Kamala Harris

The View, America’s most popular daytime talkshow, was on commercial break. Kamala Harris sat writing absence notes for students who were missing class to attend the live broadcast. “Is it just today, right?” the vice-president laughed.

She handed over the letters written on notepaper headed “The Vice President”. One said: “Dear teacher, please excuse Dani from class today. She was hanging out with us. Best and thank you for being an educator. Kamala.”

It was an unscripted moment that the studio audience loved but TV viewers wouldn’t see. Harris, running the shortest presidential campaign in modern US history after being unexpectedly plunged into the fight when Joe Biden dropped out, is exploring ways to reveal herself to a wary nation.

Still a relatively unknown quantity, the former California attorney general and US senator is trying to make the electorate feel comfortable about the prospect of President Kamala Harris.

In less than three months the vice-president has raised a record-breaking billion dollars. She has tried to put daylight between herself and the unpopular incumbent figure of Biden, and turn the election into a referendum on her opponent, former US president Donald Trump. She has sought to bring positive vibes to a country that seems to have anxiety in its bones.

She has set out to persuade America to do something that it has never done before in its 248-year existence: elect a woman to the White House – and a woman of colour to boot.

Here’s more on Harris’s media blitz:

Republican’s lies about immigrants eating cats in Ohio has led to swell of far-right extremism in Springfield – and beyond

For Denise Williams, the 70-year-old head of Springfield’s NAACP chapter, the past several weeks have been testing to say the least.

Last month, flyers calling for mass deportations of immigrants were distributed by the so-called Trinity White Knights, a group associated with the Ku Klux Klan, in Black-majority neighborhoods in south Springfield.

“I’m telling people: do nothing – don’t approach them. But it’s not easy for people to see this,” she said.

“I think that is what a lot of folks cannot understand – why do we have so much hate?”

About 22% of Springfield residents are African American, according to the US Census Bureau.

“People are mad. African Americans here don’t understand how this is allowed. We just have to take this for a minute. I know it’s hard.”

Trinity White Knights is headquartered in Kentucky, where flyers were also seen by residents of the Cincinnati suburb of Covington in July as part of an apparent recruitment effort. The flyers included a PO box address in Maysville, Kentucky, and a phone number.

Ever since Donald Trump claimed during a 10 September televised debate watched by 67 million people that immigrants in Springfield were eating people’s pets – a claim that has been found to be baseless – Springfield has seen a groundswell in far-right extremism.

Here’s more context on the rise in far-right extremism:

Three major polls were released Sunday, showing Vice-President Kamala Harris either ahead of former president Donald Trump or running a head-to-head race.

Let’s start with the ABC News/Ipsos poll: Harris is ahead by two percentage points with 50% of the support. The poll, conducted between 4 to 8 October, found that 56% of Americans favor deporting all undocumented immigrants, helping Trump’s lead in trust to handle immigration at the US-Mexico border.

Meanwhile, NBC’s poll, conducted during the same time, shows Harris with support from 48% of registered voters, while Trump has the same percentage of support. Another 4% say they are undecided or wouldn’t vote for either option.

CBS also conducted a poll earlier this month, revealing a lead by Harris with 51% support compared to Trump’s 48%. The economy and policy surrounding the US-Mexico border are among the top issues voters are placing as top priorities when deciding on the next president.

Updated

Speaker Mike Johnson said that passing additional hurricane aid for states impacted by hurricanes Helene and Milton “can wait” until Congress is back in session after the election.

On Sunday, Johnson CBS’s Face the Nation, where host Margaret Brennan asked him why he thinks it’s fine to wait until November for Congress to pass more aid for Hurricane Helene and Hurricane Milton victims.

“Well, it can wait because, remember, the day before Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida and then went up through the states and wound up in Senator Tillis’s state of North Carolina, Congress appropriated 20 billion additional dollars to FEMA so that they would have the necessary resources to address immediate needs,” Johnson said.

Tillis was part of a bipartisan group of senators that signed a letter urging lawmakers to think about bringing Congress members back into session this month to pass disaster legislation before the year’s end.

Updated

Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock from Georgia said he does not believe Black men will show up for former President Trump in large numbers.

During CNN’s “State of the Union” with Dana Bash, Warnock said: “Black men are not going to vote for Donald Trump in any significant numbers. There will be some. We’re not a monolith.

He was responding to a New York Times polling that placed Harris behind Biden among Black voters. Warnock alluded to the late ‘80s case of the Central Park Five, where the brutal assault of a New York jogger in Central Park led to Trump taking out full-page ads in the city’s major newspapers calling for the return of the death penalty for those responsible.

“When it was proven that the Exonerated 5, the Central Park 5, were actually innocent, Donald Trump has shown no deal of concern about what they went through, no deal, no bit of contrition about it,” Warnock said.

Updated

Good morning, US politics blog readers. There’s another busy news day ahead of us and we’ll keep up with all the developments as they happen.

Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Prescott Valley, Arizona, later today. Kamala Harris’s husband, Doug Emhoff, will head to a Get Out the Jewish Vote campaign event in Montgomery County, Pennsylvania. He will later deliver remarks at a Girl Dads for Harris-Walz phone bank in Delaware County.

Several polls released on Sunday show Vice-President Kamala Harris in the lead or in a tight race with former president Donald Trump. An ABC News/Ipsos poll shows 50% support for Harris and 48% for Trump, while the latest national NBC News poll shows Trump and Harris are deadlocked.

Here’s what else is happening:

  • Kamala Harris on Saturday released a report on her health and medical history, which found that “she possesses the physical and mental resiliency required to successfully execute the duties of the presidency” if voters elect her in November. A senior aide to Harris, 59, said the vice-president’s advisers viewed the publication of the health report and medical history as an opportunity to call attention to questions about Donald Trump’s physical fitness and mental acuity.

  • Tightening poll figures have triggered nervousness and anxiety in Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign, with Donald Trump making gains in the states where it matters most as the election race enters its climactic final phase, according to The Guardian’s 10-day polling average tracker.

  • Several former Trump administration officials have warned that the former president deliberately withheld disaster aid to states he deemed politically hostile to him as US president and will do so again unimpeded if he returns to the White House.

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