Trump tariffs could climb even further—to the highest since 1872—before they ease again as a cycle of retaliation and escalation plays out

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• President Donald Trump's tariffs could reach an effective rate as high as 30%, up from 25% under his recently announced plans, according to analysts at UBS. A rate that steep would mark the highest level in more than 150 years. But after a cycle of retaliation and escalation, UBS see tariffs coming back down later this year.

President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs are already sending rates to the steepest levels in a century, but they could go even higher.