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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
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Jared Abbott and Dustin Guastella

Trump’s working-class support is waning

Donald Trump Joe Biden Republican
trump speaks at a rally
‘Put simply, Trump’s coalition is most stable at the top and most fragile at the bottom.’ Photograph: Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

A new survey offers some novel insight into Trump’s corroding coalition.

The survey, which I (Abbott) conducted with the scholar and author Joan C Williams, sampled about 1,940 Trump voters and captured the attitudes of the broad coalition that brought Trump to the White House in 2024. Respondents were asked if they intended to vote Republican in the 2028 presidential election and, in particular, their views on immigration – Trump’s strongest issue.

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