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Reason
Reason
Jack Nicastro

Trump's (Un)strategic Crypto Reserve

President Donald Trump on March 2 announced the creation of a strategic crypto reserve to include bitcoin, ethereum, XRP, solana, and cardano. Trump says that the "Crypto Reserve will elevate this critical industry" and "make sure the U.S. is the Crypto Capital of the World." It's unclear how subsidizing demand for cryptocurrency would make the industry more innovative.

The details of what a crypto reserve would look like are scant. Nic Carter, co-founder of Castle Island Ventures, a venture capital firm investing in blockchain startups, and a former crypto-asset analyst for Fidelity, spoke to Reason about how it could function. Carter doubts the reserve will be created with monetary intent, i.e., to peg the U.S. dollar to a commodity like bitcoin, which has a "low issuance rate [and] a very predictable supply schedule." Establishing such a crypto reserve, as Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R–Wyo.) suggests in her Boosting Innovation, Technology and Competitiveness through Optimized Investment Nationwide (BITCOIN) Act, which was introduced in the last session of Congress, would "basically signal that we're considering a…soft default," says Carter: "Interest rates would spike dramatically as investors in U.S. debt would start to wonder if the US was considering a hard break" from the current international monetary system, he explained in Bitcoin Magazine in December 2024. No such leading indicators of macroeconomic mayhem have been observed yet.

Carter anticipates that nothing will ultimately come of the president's announcement. Trump campaigned on a crypto stockpile, which would consist of bitcoin already seized and held by the Treasury; he did not campaign on acquiring billions of dollars' worth of cryptocurrencies, which the BITCOIN Act would do. The optics of such an acquisition are also unfavorable: Crypto firms spent "at least $10 million into the Trump inaugural fund," according to Politico. Industry super PACs and wealthy individuals also spent millions of dollars to support the Trump campaign this past election cycle, per CNN.

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