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Fortune
Fortune
Nick Lichtenberg

Trump’s tariff revenue is soaring off a ‘significant increase,’ budget watchdog says—but the $38 trillion national debt still looms

Donald Trump (Credit: Samuel Corum—Getty Images)

Federal tariff revenue soared to historic highs in fiscal year 2025, fueled by the Trump administration’s aggressive trade strategy, according to a new analysis from a leading fiscal watchdog. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB) reports that customs duties generated $195 billion this year—a more than 250% jump from the previous year’s tally and a clear signal of the fiscal impact generated by heightened trade measures. Despite this boost, and one-time savings from reforms to student loans amounting to $200 billion, the CRFB notes that the deficit still totaled $1.8 trillion (roughly 6% of GDP), warning that lawmakers will need to identify substantially more deficit reduction to put the $38 trillion national debt on a sustainable path.

Customs duty collections, which began the fiscal year under preexisting rates, spiked dramatically as the administration introduced new and expanded tariffs throughout the year. Monthly revenue climbed from $7 billion in January to $30 billion by September, culminating in a total annual tariff collection of $195 billion—nearly $118 billion (or 150%) more than the $77 billion collected in 2024. Much of this revenue—roughly $150 billion—came in the second half of the year, where receipts outpaced the same period last year by almost 300%.

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