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Salon
Salon
Politics
Heather Digby Parton

Trump-DeSantis race: Starting right now

Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis (Photo illustration by Salon/Getty Images)

It appears the pollsters were more or less right in predicting a very close election, within the margin of error — but pundits and analysts were dead wrong in assuming that meant that the "hidden" Trump voters would sweep in and deliver a sweeping victory to the Republicans. They insisted that the "fundamentals" all pointed that way: The out party always wins in midterms and "it's the economy, stupid," along with "crime," the great Republican bogeyman, meaning the Democrats were toast. Well, so much for that.

As I write this, it looks as though the Democrats have a better than even chance of holding on to the Senate and even some statistical possibility they won't lose the House. NBC projects a very narrow Republican majority of about 220-215 — with an estimated wobble of plus or minus 10 seats. Win or lose, there's no red wave, let alone a "red tsunami." If Republicans do win, it's more like a tiny pink trickle, eking out a victory on the margins in an election they thought would end with a triumphant sweep.

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