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Sports Illustrated
Sports Illustrated
Sport
Conor Orr

Three NFL Teams That Will Fall Short of Expectations This Season

Earlier this week, we released our list of three teams that would likely outperform “expectations.” As we mentioned, it’s valuable to have a professional, neutral organization such as sportsbooks defining expectations. Before gambling, fans, media and the whims of ownership set the bar, which led us to the kind of place we are now: a perpetual cycle of hiring, firing and making the same mistakes.

One day, I would like to see ownership utilize some of the analytics at the disposal of gambling companies to determine a realistic outcome for their coaching staff—combining roster strength, age, schedule difficulties, net rest days, travel and other determining factors instead of making human beings the grist for their own short-sightedness. Until then, we’re lucky to do the dirty work and hope that someone is listening.


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