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Adrian Esterman, Professor of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of South Australia

Thousands more Australians died in 2022 than expected. COVID was behind the majority of them

Shutterstock/David L Young

Last month, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released a report of mortality statistics. It showed that from January to July 2022, there were 17% more deaths (16,375) than the average expected for these months.

This historical average is based on an average of the deaths for 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2021. They did not include 2020 in the baseline for 2022 data because it included periods where numbers of deaths were significantly lower than expected. The difference between the expected number of deaths based on historical data, and the actual number, is called “excess deaths”.

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