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The Conversation
The Conversation
Politics
Grant Duncan, Associate Professor, School of People, Environment and Planning, Massey University

This election year, NZ voters should beware of reading too much into the political polls

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With a new prime minister sworn in and a cabinet reshuffle imminent, it’s no exaggeration to say the election year has begun with a bang. Already the punditry and speculation are ramping up, with anticipation building for the first opinion polls.

There will be more polls to come, of course, but a word of caution is in order: don’t treat them as gospel, and try not to let them become self-fulfilling prophecies. At this point, we can’t predict who will form New Zealand’s next government, and it could yet be a tight race.

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