There’s a better-than-not chance that President Donald Trump will mention aliens, AI and hockey during his State of the Union address this evening, according to Kalshi, a popular prediction market.
With Trump’s Capitol Hill speech just hours away, Kalshi has seen over $10 million in trading volume on what subjects he’ll bring up.
The site forecasts a 96 percent likelihood that Trump will mention “250” — a reference to the nation’s 250th anniversary this year — followed by 95 percent odds for “Trillion” and 92 percent for “AI / Artificial Intelligence.”
There’s also a 92 percent chance the Republican president will talk about “Olympics / World Cup” and a 90 percent chance he’ll touch on “hockey.” It comes after the U.S. Men's Hockey team won the gold medal at the Olympics in Milan this weekend, and the team has received an invitation to the address tonight.
The word “Alien,” meanwhile, has an 87 percent chance of being uttered. Interest in the term may be high since Trump ordered the government to begin releasing files related to “alien and extraterrestrial life” last week.
On the other hand, phrases like “Drill Baby Drill,” “Sleepy Joe” and “Trump Derangement Syndrome” have less than a 50 percent chance of being mentioned.
Some wagers have also been placed on the people and places the 79-year-old president will name.
Kalshi sees a 92 percent chance that Trump will mention former President Joe Biden and an 87 percent chance for deposed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro—who U.S. forces captured last month. Odds are even higher he’ll refer to Iran (95 percent), Venezuela (94 percent) and China (93 percent).
Trump’s SOTU address is scheduled to begin at 9:00 p.m. ET.
The president is expected to use the address to highlight his immigration crackdown, his military operations around the world and his handling of the economy during his whirlwind first year in office, according to The Associated Press.
Attendees traditionally include most members of Congress, Cabinet secretaries and Supreme Court justices.
However, more than two dozen Democrats are planning to ditch the event in order to hold their own rally in protest. And it remains to be seen whether all Supreme Court justices will attend the speech after they struck down the president’s sweeping tariffs last week — leading Trump to describe the justices who opposed him as “fools and lapdogs.”
The president is expected to use the address to highlight his immigration crackdown, his military operations around the world and his handling of the economy during his whirlwind first year in office, according to The Associated Press.
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