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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Anatol Lieven

I’ve studied geopolitics all my life: climate breakdown is a bigger threat than China and Russia

A group of about 20 people on a boat, with several others standing in the deep water. A cluster of buildings, half submerged in water, can be seen behind them.
Flooding in the Nigerian city of Maiduguri this month has claimed at least 30 lives and forced 400,000 people from their homes. Photograph: AFP/Getty Images

The Irish sea captain who in 1751 discovered the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (Amoc) – closely connected with, though not identical to, the Gulf Stream – found a practical use for it: he used the frigid deeper water to cool his wine.

That may seem a rather frivolous response, but of course, Capt Henry Ellis had no idea that the oceanic pattern he had stumbled upon had been critical to the climate, the agriculture and indeed the entire development of western Europe. The same excuse can hardly be made for British and European governments today.

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