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Sohini Mondal

The Walt Disney Stock: Is DIS Underperforming the Communication Services Sector?

The Walt Disney Company (DIS), based in Burbank, California, is a leading entertainment conglomerate operating globally. With a market cap of $187.4 billion, the company is renowned for film, television, streaming, and theme parks, offering a diverse portfolio of content and experiences through its entertainment; sports; and experiences segments.

Companies valued at $10 billion or more are generally considered "large-cap" stocks, and Walt Disney fits this criterion perfectly, boasting a market cap exceeding the mark. Walt Disney has reshaped global entertainment through its timeless movies, iconic theme parks as vacation hotspots, innovative merchandising strategies, and influential television networks, continuing to redefine the industry worldwide.

However, the entertainment giant has fallen off its lofty perch, with DIS stock down 17.2% from its 52-week high of $123.74. Shares of DIS are down 9.7% over the past three months, underperforming the broader S&P 500 Communication Sector SPDR's (XLC) 5.7% gains over the same time frame.

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Longer term, DIS is up 13.8% on a YTD basis, lagging behind the XLC's 14.9% gains. Moreover, shares of Walt Disney have gained almost 13.8% over the past 52 weeks, compared to XLC's around 32.1% gains over the same time frame.

To confirm the bearish price trend, DIS has been trading below its 50-day moving average since mid-April. 

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Despite its strong intellectual property portfolio, leadership shakeups, and strategic restructuring efforts, Walt Disney continued to underperform due to challenges in shifting from linear TV to streaming, declining theme park demand, persistent losses in its streaming division, and recent box office disappointments. Moreover, the stock plunged following its fiscal Q2 earnings report due to missed revenue expectations and uncertainties surrounding advertising revenue and the future of in-person movies.

Nevertheless, the stock's top rival Comcast (CMCSA) is underperforming - not just DIS, but the broader equity benchmarks, as well. Comcast stock has gained marginally over the past 52 weeks and is down 10.2% on a YTD basis.

Despite its lackluster price action, analysts think DIS can break out to new highs in the next year. The stock has a consensus rating of "Strong Buy" from the 27 analysts in coverage, and the mean price target of $127.75 is a premium of 24.3% to current levels. 

On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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