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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Comment
Ali Vaez

The US and Israel are waging war on an Iran they think they know. The reality is very different

A man walks past an Iranian flag fluttering above the wreckage of a car in Tehran, on 4 March 2026.
A man walks past an Iranian flag fluttering above the wreckage of a car in Tehran, on 4 March 2026. Photograph: AFP/Getty Images

When the US and Israel launched coordinated strikes against Iran on 28 February, the campaign was structured like a textbook air war: destroy defences, degrade retaliatory capabilities and decapitate leadership. Iranian air defences – already battered in last summer’s war – were further dismantled to secure uncontested skies. Missile factories, drone infrastructure and naval assets were hit to erode Iran’s ability to retaliate. And a steady cadence of precision strikes removed senior commanders in what amounted to a sustained attempt to disorient Tehran’s decision-making.

From a purely operational perspective, the advantages have been stark. Once skies are open, the war becomes cheaper: plentiful, relatively inexpensive munitions can replace the long-range systems that defended airspace typically demands.

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