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The Guardian - US
The Guardian - US
Comment
Robert Reich

The United States is not facing an imminent recession. This is nonsense

An outside view of the New York Stock Exchange building, a beige building with an American flag hanging outside
‘Everyone who makes economic predictions will one day be proven correct if they stick to their guns.’ Photograph: Charly Triballeau/AFP/Getty Images

Two weeks before 19 October 1987, I warned publicly that “in two weeks, the stock market will lose 20% of its value.” Then, on 19 October 1987, the S&P 500 had the biggest one-day fall in its history – dropping 20%.

I was immediately deluged with letters and phone calls (no emails then) from people who wanted to sign up for my “investment letter”. I told them, with some regret, that I didn’t have an investment letter.

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