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Barchart
Barchart
Josh Enomoto

The Saturday Spread: Using Volatility Skew as a Smart Money Gauge (TGT, AAPL, ORCL)

Among the most challenging aspects of the options market is that the ecosystem is structured as a multiverse. Rather than being viewed as an abstract battle of wits between bulls and bears, it’s actually more helpful to consider the derivatives arena as an insurance marketplace. Essentially, traders are pricing for both downside and upside risk relative to their position. This transactional structuring is visually represented by the volatility skew.

Definitionally, the skew is a screener that identifies implied volatility (IV) — or the expected movement of the target security — across the strike price spectrum of a given options chain. IV is the heart of the skew as it’s a statistic derived from actual order flows rather than a purely random or theoretical manifestation. Fundamentally, if risk pricing were perfectly neutral, the skew would be flat. Of course, real life is far more dynamic.

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