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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
World
Nick Evershed and Josh Nicholas

The Crunch: the rise of SUVs; young people feel cost-of-living bite; and a spotlight on global heating and Cop28

A composite image for The Crunch newsletter November 9, showing a white SUV, a romance novel cover, and an oil drum overlaid on a chart which has red lines on a white background
In the first edition of the data visualisation newsletter The Crunch, we take a look at SUVs, political trends and romance covers. Illustration: Guardian Design

Welcome to the first edition of The Crunch! This is a new fortnightly newsletter which focuses on the best data journalism and data visualisation from the Guardian and around the web.

While we’ll be including a lot of Australian content (as both authors are based in Australia), we’ll also be featuring work from our UK- and US-based colleagues and dataviz of general, international interest.

In this week’s newsletter, we’ve got data on romance novel covers getting less raunchy, how younger people are bucking political trends, a round-up of visual journalism on Cop28 and the climate crisis, a look at how many Palestinians have been displaced due to the Israel-Palestine war and an excellent interactive graphic showing how X (formerly Twitter) is slow to act on misinformation posted to the platform.

But first, in the inaugural video episode of The Crunch …

… we dive into the data on how SUVs are taking over our roads and what that does for safety and emissions.

You can watch it here.

This is the first episode of our new podcast-on-video-style show (vodcast?! podeo?!?!), where we use our noisycharts software to turn a key chart on a topic into audio and video, which we then play and discuss with a guest. Making the charts in this format makes them more accessible for vision-impaired people and means the data visualisation can be represented in audio and video. Please let us know what you think!

Four charts from the past fortnight

***

1. The cost of delay on global heating

A chart showing the trajectory towards global net zero emissions, and how the trajectory has become progressively steeper due to delaying significant emissions cuts
A chart showing the trajectory towards global net zero emissions, and how the trajectory has become progressively steeper due to delaying significant emissions cuts. Illustration: Nature

The 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference, or Cop28, begins this week. Here, Jeff Tollefson at Nature has produced an excellent series of graphics which show how the world’s continued delay to significant cuts in emissions has led to requiring far more severe cuts, with a steeper trajectory to net zero. We’ve also got a special round-up on climate-related graphics ahead of Cop28 below.

***

2. Younger people are feeling the sting of the rising cost of living

The image is a bar chart titled “Younger Australians are spending less, older people spending more”. It shows the percentage year-on-year change in spending per capita by age group, based on Commonwealth Bank data, comparing Q3 2023 to Q2 2022. The x-axis lists age groups starting from 18-24 up to 75+, and the y-axis represents the percentage change from -6% to 8%. There are red bars for age groups 18-24, 25-29, and 30-34 indicating a decrease in spending, with the 25-29 age group having the largest decrease at -5.1%. Blue bars for age groups 35-39 and older indicate an increase in spending, with the 75+ age group having the highest increase at 8.1%.

This chart has been widely shared on social media after the Commonwealth Bank’s latest cost of living insights report showed people of different ages are experiencing the increased cost of living in different ways.

The bank’s analysis of transaction data shows that younger people are cutting back on spending compared to the same time last year, even on essential items, while older people’s spending continues to increase (though it hasn’t increased as much as inflation over the same period for most older age groups).

***

3. Younger people are also becoming more left-leaning, politically, unlike older generations

This image contains four stacked area charts, each representing the percentage of primary votes for three political groups — the Coalition, Labor, and the Greens — across different age categories of Australian voters over time. The age categories are: 18-34, 35-49, 50-64, and 65+. The title, “Greens’ support among younger Australians is expanding,” suggests the primary narrative of the data is the growth in the Greens’ share of the vote among younger demographics.

It’s often said that people tend to become more politically conservative as they age. But millennials and generation Z are bucking the trend – supporting the Indigenous voice to parliament and backing centre-left and left parties at increasing rates in recent elections.

Political scientists say there has been a “fundamental shift”, at least partly because the experiences of younger voters are so much different from previous generations.

This chart, based on research by Dr Shaun Ratcliff and using data from the Australian Election Study, shows younger people are turning away from the conservative side of politics.

***

4. Nearly four in five residents in Gaza have fled their homes

This image features a bar chart titled “There are more than 1.3m internally displaced people in Gaza.” The chart depicts the number of internally displaced people in Gaza who are in Palestinian Authority or UN shelters. The x-axis lists five locations: Gaza, Khan Younis, Middle, North Gaza, and Rafah. The y-axis measures the number of people in hundreds of thousands, from 0 to 400 thousand. There are two colors of bars used to represent data from two sources: red for the Palestinian Authority (PA) and blue for the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA). The bars show a varying number of displaced individuals across the regions, with Rafah having the highest numbers.

This chart shows the breakdown of displaced people by region, with the highest numbers in Rafah, near the border.

The UN estimates 1.8 million people in Gaza have fled their homes – nearly four in five residents – with children making up half of those crowded into shelters, given shelter by relatives, or living in tents or cars. Gaza is not getting enough aid to meet even basic emergency needs, the UN has warned, and the population is so ravaged by hunger, bombing and the lack of clean water that deaths from disease could outstrip those from war.

***

5. X (aka Twitter) is slow to act on misinformation about Israel and Palestine

A screenshot of a Bloomberg graphic that shows a grid of tweets, the time elapsed at the top, and which tweets had been flagged by community notes at each time point
A screenshot of a Bloomberg graphic that shows a grid of tweets, the time elapsed at the top, and which tweets had been flagged by community notes at each time point Photograph: Bloomberg

This excellent interactive graphic and investigation by Bloomberg shows how long it takes for misinformation posted to X (formerly Twitter) to be addressed using the website’s community notes system.

Spotlight on … Cop28 and global heating

Off the Charts

This image contains a horizontal bar chart with a pink background, titled “PERCENTAGE OF ROMANCE NOVEL COVERS FEATURING...” It shows data for three categories: “Raunchiness,” “Illustration,” and “Racial Diversity,” across a timeline from 2011 to 2023. In the “Raunchiness” category, the bars start at 30% in 2011 and show a decreasing trend to 3% in 2023. In the “Illustration” category, there is an increasing trend from 7% in 2011 to 72% in 2023. For “Racial Diversity,” the percentage begins at 5% in 2011 and increases to 22% by 2023.
Romance covers over time Photograph: Alice Liang/The Pudding

The stereotypical romance novel cover of a scantily clad man and woman may have actually just been a blip – they are overwhelmingly from the 1970s and 80s. This deep dive from the Pudding (we love the Pudding) found that covers from before this era featured other themes, such as travel. And more recently the level of “raunch” has declined, replaced by more pop art covers and racial diversity.

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