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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Comment
Mohamed El-Erian

The Kwarteng plan puts at risk the very poorest people in the UK – and growth

The chancellor, Kwasi Kwarteng, delivers his mini-budget on 23 September.
‘The frontloading of tax cuts that favour the rich risks undermining economic activity and prosperity.’ The chancellor, Kwasi Kwarteng, delivers his mini-budget on 23 September. Photograph: UK Parliament/Jessica Taylor/PA

Friday, the day of Kwasi Kwarteng’s “fiscal event”, was a day for the economic and financial history books, a day of eye-popping one-day moves in UK financial assets that should be of interest to more than traders, economists and economic historians. If sustained, the depreciation of the currency and the surge in sovereign borrowing costs will have important broad-based implications for the economic outlook. And once again, it is the most vulnerable segments of the population who are most at risk.

What was a generally difficult day for global markets was also a brutal day for UK financial assets. The 2% slump in stocks was accompanied by a 3% weakening in the value of sterling against the US dollar, bringing the total depreciation this year to around 20% and to a level last seen 37 years ago. Most historic of all was the surge in yields on UK government bonds, including the largest ever single-day rise in the five-year yield.

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