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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Editorial

The Guardian view on Germany’s snap election: playing for the highest of stakes

Two billboards on grassy verge
Election billboards show Friedrich Merz of the CDU, left, and the German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, of the SPD in Berlin on 14 January 2025. Photograph: Sean Gallup/Getty Images

In the German city of Karlsruhe, a police investigation has just been launched into the distribution of 30,000 flyers designed to resemble deportation plane tickets, many of which were placed in the letterboxes of immigrants. Organised by the far-right Alternative für Deutschland party (AfD), the stunt recalled a similar malicious exercise by the neo-Nazi National Democratic party (NPD) in 2013. The difference is that while the NPD – now renamed the Homeland – is a fringe movement that has never crossed the 5% threshold of votes necessary to enter the Bundestag, the AfD is now running second in polls, at about 21%.

The booming popularity of a xenophobic party officially suspected of anti-constitutional extremism is just the starkest signal of how much is at stake in next month’s snap election in Germany. A national poll in Europe’s largest economy will always be of deep continental significance. But as campaigning begins in earnest, there are grounds beyond the issue of immigration for judging this to be one of the country’s most consequential contests since the second world war.

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