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Fortune
Fortune
Will Daniel

The falling price of copper is trying to tell us something about a recession

NYSE broker (Credit: Spencer Platt—Getty Images)

Copper prices have fallen more than 16% from their $9,435 per tonne January high. The metal is now trading at its lowest level since November, at around $7,900, and is just four percentage points away from officially falling into a bear market. You might ask: So what? Most people don’t go to the copper store once a week or even once a year, and it’s not a metal that usually touches people’s waking lives. The thing is, copper prices have been a reliable recession indicator over the past 30 years.

Although you may not think of it often, copper is the third most consumed metal globally and is used across a variety of industries because of its resistance to corrosion and ability to conduct both heat and electricity. The metal is such a critical facet of the world’s economy that analysts often use it as a gauge of industrial and consumer demand as well as a recession indicator, giving it the nickname “Dr. Copper.”

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