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Saul Eslake, Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow, University of Tasmania

The Chalmers graphs: 7.75% inflation, plunging real wages, weak growth

As he had promised to do almost since the day he became treasurer, Jim Chalmers has presented a gloomy set of forecasts for the Australian economy in his first formal economic statement to the new parliament on Thursday.

Inflation is now forecast to peak at 7.75% in the December quarter of this year.

That’s higher than the Reserve Bank’s most recent (informal) forecast peak of 7%, and way above the 4.25% forecast in the March budget for the year to June, and the 3% forecast in that budget for the year to June 2023.

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