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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Business
Heather Stewart

From Trump tariffs to AI: the big economic questions facing governments in 2025

a woman passes a shop with a huge sale sign
Recent UK data suggests economic risks have tilted very much to the downside. Photograph: Martin Pope/SOPA Images/REX/Shutterstock

January is always a time for new beginnings and fresh thinking. But with Donald Trump heading for the White House and a new(ish) Labour government in charge of a faltering UK economy, the onset of 2025 seems especially portentous.

Forecasting is a mug’s game, as former Bank of England governor Mervyn King used to say about predicting exchange rates; but here are some of the big economic questions to ponder, as the new year gets under way:

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